Accendo Reliability

Your Reliability Engineering Professional Development Site

  • Home
  • About
    • Contributors
    • About Us
    • Colophon
    • Survey
  • Reliability.fm
  • Articles
    • CRE Preparation Notes
    • NoMTBF
    • on Leadership & Career
      • Advanced Engineering Culture
      • ASQR&R
      • Engineering Leadership
      • Managing in the 2000s
      • Product Development and Process Improvement
    • on Maintenance Reliability
      • Aasan Asset Management
      • AI & Predictive Maintenance
      • Asset Management in the Mining Industry
      • CMMS and Maintenance Management
      • CMMS and Reliability
      • Conscious Asset
      • EAM & CMMS
      • Everyday RCM
      • History of Maintenance Management
      • Life Cycle Asset Management
      • Maintenance and Reliability
      • Maintenance Management
      • Plant Maintenance
      • Process Plant Reliability Engineering
      • RCM Blitz®
      • ReliabilityXperience
      • Rob’s Reliability Project
      • The Intelligent Transformer Blog
      • The People Side of Maintenance
      • The Reliability Mindset
    • on Product Reliability
      • Accelerated Reliability
      • Achieving the Benefits of Reliability
      • Apex Ridge
      • Field Reliability Data Analysis
      • Metals Engineering and Product Reliability
      • Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics
      • Product Validation
      • Reliability by Design
      • Reliability Competence
      • Reliability Engineering Insights
      • Reliability in Emerging Technology
      • Reliability Knowledge
    • on Risk & Safety
      • CERM® Risk Insights
      • Equipment Risk and Reliability in Downhole Applications
      • Operational Risk Process Safety
    • on Systems Thinking
      • Communicating with FINESSE
      • The RCA
    • on Tools & Techniques
      • Big Data & Analytics
      • Experimental Design for NPD
      • Innovative Thinking in Reliability and Durability
      • Inside and Beyond HALT
      • Inside FMEA
      • Institute of Quality & Reliability
      • Integral Concepts
      • Learning from Failures
      • Progress in Field Reliability?
      • R for Engineering
      • Reliability Engineering Using Python
      • Reliability Reflections
      • Statistical Methods for Failure-Time Data
      • Testing 1 2 3
      • The Manufacturing Academy
  • eBooks
  • Resources
    • Accendo Authors
    • FMEA Resources
    • Glossary
    • Feed Forward Publications
    • Openings
    • Books
    • Webinar Sources
    • Podcasts
  • Courses
    • Your Courses
    • Live Courses
      • Introduction to Reliability Engineering & Accelerated Testings Course Landing Page
      • Advanced Accelerated Testing Course Landing Page
    • Integral Concepts Courses
      • Reliability Analysis Methods Course Landing Page
      • Applied Reliability Analysis Course Landing Page
      • Statistics, Hypothesis Testing, & Regression Modeling Course Landing Page
      • Measurement System Assessment Course Landing Page
      • SPC & Process Capability Course Landing Page
      • Design of Experiments Course Landing Page
    • The Manufacturing Academy Courses
      • An Introduction to Reliability Engineering
      • Reliability Engineering Statistics
      • An Introduction to Quality Engineering
      • Quality Engineering Statistics
      • FMEA in Practice
      • Process Capability Analysis course
      • Root Cause Analysis and the 8D Corrective Action Process course
      • Return on Investment online course
    • Industrial Metallurgist Courses
    • FMEA courses Powered by The Luminous Group
    • Foundations of RCM online course
    • Reliability Engineering for Heavy Industry
    • How to be an Online Student
    • Quondam Courses
  • Calendar
    • Call for Papers Listing
    • Upcoming Webinars
    • Webinar Calendar
  • Login
    • Member Home
  • Barringer Process Reliability Introduction Course Landing Page
  • Upcoming Live Events
You are here: Home / Articles / How Safe is Safe Enough for Your System?

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

How Safe is Safe Enough for Your System?

How Safe is Safe Enough for Your System?

Estimating the set of stress and stress curves is an interesting exercise that may have a greater purpose: safety.

The connection is clear when considering the potential consequences of failure.

For example, the loss of braking power when landing an aircraft may result in the aircraft rolling off the end of the runway. This could be into a river or road and may have a rather poor outcome not only for the aircraft.

One way an aircraft breaking system could fail is the over-stress of a specific flange causing it to fracture.

I’m just making this up as I’m not all that familiar with aircraft brakes, yet have enjoyed their ability to actually stop a landing aircraft on occasion.

We can calculate, simulate, and measure the applied load on the flange during braking. The data becomes the basis for the stress curve. Given the design, materials, and assembly process we likewise can calculate, simulate, and measure the ability of the flag to withstand the braking loads. This becomes the basis for the strength curve.

Given the two curves, we can calculate the probability of an applied load fracturing a flange. This is the chance the specific load is greater than the ability of the specific flange to hold without fracture.

Given any failure may result in catastrophe, what chance of failure is sufficiently low to be considered safe?

Safety Factor Policy

The stress strength calculations provide a chance of failure, yet we need a value to judge the calculated results. If the desire is to have less than a 1 in a million chance of flange fracture then we have a specification to judge the stress/strength calculations.

If the calculated value shows there is a 1 in 1,000 chance of failure, the strength is not sufficient and may require redesign or material change, or assembly improvement.

On the other hand, if the calculated chance of failure is 1 in a billion, then we may consider cost or weight savings.

No design or system is perfect and always has a chance of failure.

The cost and available technology to reduce the risk of failure limits our ability to shift the strength curve away from the stress curve (reduce chance of failure). Finding that balance is where the safety factor policy plays a role.

Your engineering team may have a policy aligned for different types of failures.

Like an FMEA severity scale, the policy may prioritize work to reduce risk of failures that lead to catastrophic outcomes. The policy may dictate a specific chance of failure, like 1 in a million chance. Or it may provide a ratio of how much stronger the strength as to be over the stress. Or be expressed as a margin of safety.

With any approach to stating the policy it translates to the separation distance of the stress and strength curves.

For example, we may set a policy that applies to the flange example as a safety factor of 5x. Meaning the strength of the flange should be at least 5 times as strong as the expected stress it will see during braking.

The same policy may include a 1.5x safety factor for non-critical failures. For example, the elements that support my inflight entertainment system is not life threatening, as if I can’t watch a movie during flight, that is an annoyance (assuming it only results in loss of function of the entertainment system and not a cabin fire, of course). Thus may warrant a lower margin of safety.

Do you have a policy that allows you and your team to evaluate your design against the various types of potential failure consequences?

If not, it’s time to set one.


Related:

Safety Factor (article)

Reliability Role in Safety and Liability (article)

The Liability Part of Reliability Engineering (article)

 

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

About Fred Schenkelberg

I am the reliability expert at FMS Reliability, a reliability engineering and management consulting firm I founded in 2004. I left Hewlett Packard (HP)’s Reliability Team, where I helped create a culture of reliability across the corporation, to assist other organizations.

« The 2015 Recommended References Survey
Success Testing Formula Derivation »

Leave a Reply Cancel reply

Your email address will not be published. Required fields are marked *

Article by Fred Schenkelberg
in the Musings series

Join Accendo

Receive information and updates about articles and many other resources offered by Accendo Reliability by becoming a member.

It’s free and only takes a minute.

Join Today

Recent Articles

  • Gremlins today
  • The Power of Vision in Leadership and Organizational Success
  • 3 Types of MTBF Stories
  • ALT: An in Depth Description
  • Project Email Economics

© 2025 FMS Reliability · Privacy Policy · Terms of Service · Cookies Policy