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You are here: Home / Archives for Articles / CRE Preparation Notes

CRE Preparation Notes

Prep notes for ASQ Certified Reliability Engineer exam ISSN 2165-8633

The CRE Preparation Notes series provides you with short practical tutorials on all the elements that make up the ASQ CRE body of knowledge. The articles provide introductory material, basics, how-tos, examples, and practical use guidance for the full range of reliability engineering concepts, terms, tools, and practices.

Keep your knowledge fresh by regularly reviewing topics and tools that make up reliability engineering.

Sign up for the CRE Preparation Notes email list for the new reliability engineering short tutorials.

- Improve your reliability engineering skills

- Learn about the wide range of tools available

- Enhance your resume with the ASQ CRE

You will find the most recent tutorials in reverse chronological order below.

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

Confidence Interval for Variance

Confidence Interval for Variance

When using a sample to calculate a statistic we are estimating a population parameter. It is just an estimate and the sample due to the nature of drawing a sample may not create a value (statistic) that is close to the actual value (parameter). [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Confidence interval or bound

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Chance of Catching a Shift in a Control Chart

Chance of Catching a Shift in a Control Chart

Control charts help us monitor and stabilize a process. A little graphics along with statistics provides a tool to identify when something has changed. Some changes are abrupt and obvious, other a little more subtle, yet the out of control signals each have approximately the same chance of alerting us to a change.

A little graphics along with statistics provides a tool to identify when something has changed. Some changes are abrupt and obvious, other a little more subtle, yet the out of control signals each have approximately the same chance of alerting us to a change. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistical Process Control (SPC)

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

PDF to CDF with Brief Calculus Refresher

PDF to CDF with Brief Calculus Refresher

As you may recall the probability density function describes the behavior of a random variable.

Like a histogram, the PDF when plotted reveals the shape of the distribution. The PDF also has the property that the area under the curve for is one. Another property is the PDF is defined across the entire sample space. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Run Test for Randomness

Run Test for Randomness

It seems that anytime we draw a sample, it should be taken randomly. Statistics books and papers regularly advise using a random sample. The adverse effect on results drawn from the experiment may hinge on the randomness of the selection of samples. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Hypothesis testing

by Fred Schenkelberg 6 Comments

The Wald Wolfowitz Run Test for Two Small Samples

This nonparametric test evaluates if two continuous cumulative distributions are significantly different or not.

For example, if the assumption is two production lines producing the same product create the same resulting dimensions, comparing a set of samples from each line may reveal if that hypothesis is true or not.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics non-parametric

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Why do statistical based testing?

Why do statistical based testing?

Edited by John Healy

There is a lot of probability, statistics and data analysis involved with reliability engineering. Why is that? Have you considered why our field of endeavor includes the use of these tools?

Let’s say there were no statistical tools. We would not be able to accurately infer a conclusion based on an observation of a few samples. We might react to everything that we observe – constantly spinning our wheels on minor issues. We might make decisions based on factors that did not include the random variation of the items. We might track failure rates, yet not really know how to determine if the few failures we observe were an indication of a major issue or not. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Probability concepts

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Retro Standard Deviation Calculation

Retro Standard Deviation Calculation

Edited by John Healy

You use your calculator or spreadsheet, or even a statistics software package to calculate standard deviation, which is an estimate of the population standard deviation. Yet, understanding how one could calculate standard deviation without such advanced tools may prove useful. The knowledge of basic sum of squares methods provides a foundation for ANOVA and DOE analysis techniques. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Probability concepts

by Fred Schenkelberg 5 Comments

The Law of Large Numbers and the Gambler’s Fallacy

The Law of Large Numbers and the Gambler’s Fallacy

edited by John Healy

This theorem is a fundamental element of probability theory. The law is basically that if one conducts the same experiment a large number of times the average of the results should be close to the expected value. Furthermore, the more trails conducted the closer the resulting average will be to the expected value.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Probability concepts

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Reading a Standard Normal Table

Reading a Standard Normal Table

Editing and Contributions by John Healy

Before computers and statistical software, we relied on tables to determine values for common integration problems – the normal distribution in particular. There is no closed form solution for the integral of the normal distribution probability density function, it requires advanced numerical methods to estimate the area under the curve. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Central Limit Theorem

Central Limit Theorem

There are two basic ways to consider the central limit theorem. First consider a random variable, X, which has a mean, μ, and variance σ2. If we take a random sample from f(X) of size n and calculate the sample mean, X̄, then as n increases the distribution of the sample means, X̄’s approaches a normal distribution with mean, μ, and variance σ2/√n̄. The original data, X, may have any distribution and when n is suitably large the distribution of the averages will approach a normal distribution. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg 5 Comments

The Normal Distribution

The Normal Distribution

A continuous distribution is useful in many statistical applications such as process capability, control charts, and confidence intervals about point estimates. On occasion time to failure, data may exhibit behavior that a normal distribution models well. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg 5 Comments

Upcoming live online CRE Prep course

Learn more and register for the CRE Prep course here. (registration is closed at this time)

Overview

  • This online class provides an overview of Body Of Knowledge with guided self-study by the student, review of previous CRE exam questions, hands on-line approach.
  • This virtual classroom allows participants to actively participate by drawing on the virtual whiteboard, asking questions on the mic or web chat, taking polls, sharing desktops, and webcam capability.  Imagine following a lecture, highlighting or circling your problem areas on the virtual whiteboard, or even presenting tough CRE questions to be answered.  You can even e-mail questions to be answered in the next class!
  • If you are unable to make the live class or want to re-view videos from past sessions, you may do so by clicking any course date in the Course Archive.
  • This course is designed to supplement the knowledge of the individual having met the requirements for certification and is not designed to teach the entire body of knowledge.

The course is 16 two hour sessions – a mix of lecture, discussion and Q&A that focused on what you need to know to pass the ASQ CRE exam. Sure, beyond the course you will need to study. This involved practicing sample exam questions, using your references and calculator, and practicing finding answers quickly.

We discuss ways to study along with any issues or ideas you have as you prepare for the exam.

*Note: These online classes will be Archived and you will be able to access them later even if you cannot make it to the Live class session!  This means you may watch them again in case you forget something, miss a class, or can’t make it one day.  Saturdays may be scheduled with the instructor for extra sessions or make-up classes if needed.  

Mondays, July 13 – August 17, 2015 (3:00PM-5:00PM PDT)

Last Session for questions, September 21 and 28, 2015 (3:00PM-5:00PM PDT) 

This class ends prior to the semi-annual ASQ Section testing, where everyone may sign-up through their local Section to take their test.  Be sure to check out the ASQ website to get the early-bird rate before the end of this course!

Looking forward to seeing you in the course. And, of course, at any time, feel free to ask questions here, or in the CRE Preparation LinkedIn group.

Learn more and register for the CRE Prep course here.

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Prep, CRE Preparation Notes

by Fred Schenkelberg 4 Comments

Lognormal Distribution

Lognormal Distribution

Similar to the Weibull distribution yet with slightly heavier tails. While not as easy to interpret if the data shows early life or wear out features, the lognormal distribution often fits time to repair data accurately.

Transform the data by taking the natural log of each data point. The resulting values tend to be normally distributed if the original data fits a lognormal distribution.

You can use base 10 or base 2 or any base and the results will still tend to be normally distributed. It is common to use natural log, ln(). [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

The Poisson Distribution

The Poisson Distribution

A discreet distribution useful when counting events within a time period.

It models rates, such as the number of gophers in your garden, paint scratches on your car, or the number of shopping carts that arrive in the 5 minutes before you in line. Essentially it’s the count of something over a time period or defined area. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

by Fred Schenkelberg 3 Comments

The Exponential Distribution

The Exponential Distribution

The exponential distribution is a model for items with a constant failure rate (which very rarely occurs).

If the chance of failure is the same each hour (or cycle, etc.), including the first hour, 100th hour, and 1 millionth hour or use, then the exponential distribution is suitable.

Many practitioners assume the failure rate either is constant or changes so little as to be essential constant in order to make reliability calculations simpler. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Statistics distributions and functions

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CRE Preparation Notes

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