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You are here: Home / Archives for Fred Schenkelberg

Fred Schenkelberg — Thought Leader

Author of CRE Preparation Notes, Musings", NoMTBF, multiple books & ebooks>, co-host on Speaking of Reliability>/a>, and speaker in the Accendo Reliability Webinar Series.


This author's archive lists contributions of articles and episodes.

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

Equal Variance Hypothesis

Equal Variance Hypothesis

Hypothesis testing of paired data may include two populations that have the equal standard deviations. The t-test for differences considered in a previous post used the standard deviation of the differences. In this test, we want to consider if one population is different in some way than the other and we use the samples from each population directly. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Hypothesis testing

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

Paired-Comparison Hypothesis Tests

Paired-Comparison Hypothesis Tests

Hypothesis testing previously discussed (link to past posts) generally considered samples from two populations. Maybe the experiments explored design changes, different component vendors, or two groups of customers. Occasionally you may find data that has some relationship between the samples, or where the samples are from the same population. Paired (or matched) data involves samples that are related in some meaningful way. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Hypothesis testing

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

Influence and Reliability

Influence and Reliability

Reliability professionals today have a challenge. Engineering and operations staff members are taught to think for themselves, to make decisions, to get things done. The entire staff is highly educated, motivated and willing to lead a team or organization to results. In order to be effective as a reliability profession, we have to engage those independent and fast moving individuals. We have to compel others to listen to and understand reliability predictions, risk assessments and models. If they listen and act on the information we provide, they then may fully consider the impact of decisions on reliability performance. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Influence

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Reliability Program Structure

Reliability Program Structure

A product reliability program is a process. Like any process, it has inputs and outputs, generally some form of an objective, and feedback. Furthermore, the process may or may not be controlled, or even a conscious part of the organization. Reliability may just happen, good or bad. Results may or may not be known or understood.

In some organizations, the reliability program may be highly structured with required activities at each stage along the product lifecycle. In other organizations, reliability is considered as a set of tests (e.g. environmental or safety compliance). In some organizations, reliability is effectively a part of everyone’s role. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg 1 Comment

Hypothesis Tests for Variance Case I

Hypothesis Tests for Variance Case I

Statistics is the language of variation. Everything varies, and we use variance (σ2) to describe the spread of the data. For any experimental work aimed at making improvements, whether in the design, manufacturing process or field performance, there are two ways to make improvements. Move the center of the distribution, or reduce the spread of the data. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Hypothesis testing

by Fred Schenkelberg 3 Comments

Hypothesis Tests for Proportion

Hypothesis Tests for Proportion

This is also called the “p test”

When comparing proportions that are from a population with a fixed number of independent trials and each trial has a constant probability of one or another outcome (Bernoulli experiments) then we can use a p test. p is the probability of success, and 1-p is the probability of failure. Caution: stay consistent once you define success otherwise, like me, you’ll have a bit of confusion. n is the number of trials. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Probability and Statistics for Reliability Tagged With: Hypothesis testing

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Reliability Goals

Reliability Goals

The target, objective, mission or goal is the statement that provides a design team with focus and direction. A well-stated goal will establish the business connection to the technical decisions, related to product durability expectations. A well-stated goal provides clarity across the organization and permits a common language for discussing design, supply chain, and manufacturing decisions.

Let’s explore the definition of a ‘well-stated reliability goal.’ First, is it not simple MTBF, “as good as or better than…” or ‘a 5-year product’. These are common ‘goals’ found across many industries, yet none permit a clear technical understanding of the durability expectations for the product.
The common definition for reliability is [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Reliability goal setting

by Fred Schenkelberg 12 Comments

K Out of N

K Out of N

The design of a product includes the arrangement of all of the product elements. When considering the reliability of a system, the arrangement matters. Many systems are arranged serially. This means that with the failure of any one element, the system will not work. See the article on Series Systems for more details. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability Modeling and Predictions Tagged With: Exponential distribution, Reliability Block Diagram (RBD)

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

HALT Value

HALT Value

It’s always necessary to estimate the value of specific reliability activities. It is needed to justify the investment required to accomplish the task. Prototypes, diagnostics equipment, and environmental chambers are expensive. The difficulty is an inability to know what will be found, before conducting the experiment.

Not doing the test means the certainty of not finding anything. That is often not enough motivation to invest, to learn something about the reliability performance. The following scenario is just one situation, along with a few ideas to help you estimate the value of investments in reliability work. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Highly Accelerated Life Testing (HALT), Value

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Types of Risk

Types of Risk

Creating a product or maintaining equipment is actually about our ability to manage risk. The various risks are outlined below, and there are more to consider. This summary covers the basics related to reliability. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability Management Tagged With: Product development

by Fred Schenkelberg 3 Comments

Derating Value

Derating Value

This example is based on a real situation. After a class on design for reliability, a senior manager declared that every component would be fully derated in every product (electronic test & measurement devices). Within a year the design team redesigned all new and existing products, with strict adherence to the derating guidelines provided in the class. A year after the class the product line enjoyed a 50% reduction in warranty claims. They learned about derating and a manager saw the potential value. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Derating, Failure Rate

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

Program Elements Part 2

Program Elements Part 2

This is a two part series where I outline the basic elements of creating and supporting a reliability program. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability Management Tagged With: Reliability program

by Fred Schenkelberg 3 Comments

ALT Value

ALT Value

Here is an example of how to determine the future value of a specific reliability task. Many of us face the challenge of how to justify spending product development resources to provide insights and information to the rest of the team. Accelerated life testing (ALT) is particularly difficult: It is time consuming, expensive, and at times statistically complex. Having a clear method to estimate the value serves your career and the organization well, as both benefit from the right investments.

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability Tagged With: Life testing and accelerated life testing (ALT), Value

by Fred Schenkelberg 2 Comments

Reliability Knowledge

Reliability Knowledge

A recent forum post included the notion that many engineers and managers developing products or maintaining equipment have knowledge apathy concerning reliability. “They don’t care!” was the poster’s words. Has this happened? Have we lost the ability to care about reliability?

Reliability Understanding

In a course I teach on reliability engineering management I ask my students to find an advertisement using reliability as a central theme or claim. This isn’t very hard to do, and I’ve regularly been surprised at the range of uses advertising finds around the concept of reliability. ‘Reliable Movers’ claims to reliably and safely move your belongings to your new home. A reliable shotgun ammunition-loading device suggests each shell will fire reliably. And, many other advertisements use the basic concepts of consistent, repeatable, safety, and trustworthy via the term reliable or reliability. There is a common and good association with reliability. [Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, Musings on Reliability and Maintenance Topics, on Product Reliability

by Fred Schenkelberg Leave a Comment

Program Elements Part 1

Program Elements Part 1

This is a two part series where I outline the basic elements of creating and supporting a reliability program.

Gather Requirements and Set Reliability Goals

[Read more…]

Filed Under: Articles, CRE Preparation Notes, Reliability Management Tagged With: Reliability program

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